As a child in Scotland I am quite sure I thought of myself as a Scot first and as British second. As a child I would have relished the thought of an independent Scotland. But as an adult who has spend the last 52 years in Canada, things are not nearly so clear.
The prospect of Scottish independence is certainly a case of the head and the heart pulling in different directions. The heart says: "Aye." The head says: "Ca' canny!"
This is how the lead-up to the referendum vote has gone. The SNP beguiles Scottish hearts with dreams of a free Scotland unyoked from the hated -- or at least much resented -- English, a Scotland in which oil money will pay for a gloriously green and increasingly socialist -- or at least social democratic -- future. The UK government speaks to the pragmatic streak in Scots: there are many unknowns ahead for an independent Scotland, and don't count on us making things quite as easy as the SNP pretends.
We Scots have always had within us a strong streak of romantic patriotism alongside our vaunted practicality. But which will prevail in September?
According to the polls it looks as if it will be a "No" victory, but it may be too close for that victory to be decisive. Much will depend on the turnout of Scots who either don't usually vote (the poor and disaffected) or those who can't usually vote (those who are 16 and 17 years old). My guess is that both of those cohorts will vote "Yes" for independence, and it wouldn't astonish me if they carry the day.
If there is a close "No" verdict then the Scottish independence issue will not go away; its proponents will simply await the arrival of "winning conditions," as diehard Quebec separatists continue to do.
I would like to suggest an alternative, though, and it is one inspired by the Canadian experience: Federalism. At the moment the UK is made up of four countries bound together in a unitary state. England has 83 per cent of the population, and Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland together have the other 17 per cent. Scotland's share is about 8 cent of the overall population, even though it is the second largest country in the UK. The 2011 numbers were 53 million for England and 5 for Scotland. Wales and Northern Ireland have 3 and 2 million respectively.
In Canadian terms, from a population perspective, it is as if Canada were comprised of Ontario plus New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. What kind of federation would that be? Obviously a highly unbalanced one from the point of view of numbers and presumably influence.
Before getting deeper into that question let's look more closely at how the UK is governed today. There is the UK Parliament that makes laws for everyone, and then there are legislative bodies in Scotland, Wales and Ireland that make certain laws for their residents under a legislated devolution of power. Each devolved legislature has a different set of powers.
Put into a Canadian context, this would mean that in our hypothetical four-province Canada the three small Provinces are more like our Yukon, the NWT or Nunavut, exercising certain powers at the pleasure of the centre. Meanwhile Ontario (i.e. England) with the vast majority of the population and a large percentage of the territory, has no devolved legislature of its own but dominates the central Parliament.
In this arrangement, oddly enough, it may be the English who are perhaps most disadvantaged. With 83 per cent of the population of the United Kingdom, England has no legislative body devoted to purely English concerns or interests, an anomaly that has become known as the "West Lothian Question." Meanwhile, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have limited legislatures, but with respect to matters that have not been devolved, their residents have to live within the rules established by a Parliament overwhelmingly English in its composition.
Would it not make more sense to decide what powers should be exercised by the central Parliament, and to give constitutionally defined authority to the legislatures of each component country, including England? This would require the development of a modern written constitution setting out the authority of each of two levels of government.
The relative strength of the central government and the English, Scottish, Welsh and Northern Irish governments could be negotiated to express the histories, cultures, aspirations and local conditions of each component of the federation.
Federations are not uncommon and there is no shortage of examples to study: in addition to the Commonwealth countries of Canada and Australia (formed from assemblages of former British colonies and with a Westminster form of government), think of the United States, Germany, Switzerland, Mexico, Brazil, Russia, and so on.
It would be healthy for the United Kingdom as a whole to consider what kind of constitution might best serve its citizens in the modern age. I really don't know why no-one in the UK seems to be talking about this.
In a federation, the Scots could have the power to be more Scottish, the English more English, and so on. And at the same time these countries that are tied together by so much history, as well as their geography, can devise a fresh and relevant relationship within the bounds of a single state.
If the upcoming referendum rejects independence but can be interpreted as a desire for constitutional change, I hope that this is an option that the people of Scotland and of course the rest of the United Kingdom consider. We Canadians (and other former colonies in the US and Australia) could offer much advice on what does and doesn't work well in a federation.
Frankly, it is long overdue for the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland to have a modern constitution instead of a mishmash of devolved powers and no written code of fundamental rights and freedoms for all its citizens. The preamble of the Constitution Act, 1867 says:
Whereas the Provinces of Canada, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick have expressed their Desire to be federally united into One Dominion under the Crown of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland, with a Constitution similar in Principle to that of the United Kingdom...
Maybe we can give something back and provide a useful precedent to the United Kingdom. Maybe our experiment in federalism can inspire a new British constitution that can reconcile the unwritten principles of British constitutional law with a structure in which each of the component countries can flourish as proud nations.
Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Friday, December 21, 2012
On the Turning of the Year (2012-13 Edition)
As 2011 turned into 2012, I posted an entry on this blog entitled "On the Turning of the Year." Well, today is December 21, 2012 and many foolish people are saying that the world is coming to an end. Just in case they may be right, I thought it would be a good idea to get a bit of a jump on the new year and start my "Turning of the Year" blog entry early.
I have to start with the painfully obvious: that calendars are human inventions and that the end of a period of time invented by humans for the convenient organization of human affairs has no meaning to the Universe at large. Having said that, the end of a calendar does make a suitable point of reflection. This was what inspired last year's "On the Turning of the Year" and it is also what inspires the current edition. I guess I have now also started a new personal tradition, namely to reflect on the turning of each year as it happens. Unless, of course the Mayan Calendar nuts are correct and this will be my last day on earth ...
It is only four days until my favourite day of the year -- Christmas Day -- and I am in one of my favourite places in the world -- Kaua'i, the "Garden Island" of the Hawai'ian Archipelago. I am here with the full immediate family: wife, son, stepdaughter and two granddaughters. What better place or time could there be for some annual reflection?
Well, it has been another one of those years. On the professional front, some of my longest lasting files have come either to an end or to a logical place to pause and reassess my participation. I have taken some decisive steps to simplify my professional life, reducing the size of my organization substantially. I will enter the new year with a feeling of freedom I have not experienced for many years, If ever.
There are some major outstanding loose ends, but nothing that will not be resolved in the months ahead. The major loose end involves money, and how that is resolved will determine to some extent how much we will have to live on for the next number of years, but the way it comes to a resolution will not really affect anything important.
I say this because the personal part of my life is deeply satisfying. For the past 20 years, I have been part of a family unit that is strong, affectionate and deeply mutually supportive. We have made the most important decisions already -- to stay together and grow old together, to stay where we live, perhaps in a new or renovated house, and to plan the rest of our lives on the pattern of how we live now, only better. Better in the sense of being more healthy and having less stress.
In this plan, it will be nice if we have more money than less, but our future won't really be enriched or impoverished much if we have more or less money. Not in any important way, at least. Money would enable us to spend more time in Hawai'i. Less money, less Hawai'i. Money will enable us to give the younger members of the family more opportunity, but they already have lots and it is going to be up to them what they do with it.
I consider my own immediate future as being one where in which I have more control than I have ever had. For 30 years my legal career has dominated all my plans. Now, it is in the way of my plans.
I have to start with the painfully obvious: that calendars are human inventions and that the end of a period of time invented by humans for the convenient organization of human affairs has no meaning to the Universe at large. Having said that, the end of a calendar does make a suitable point of reflection. This was what inspired last year's "On the Turning of the Year" and it is also what inspires the current edition. I guess I have now also started a new personal tradition, namely to reflect on the turning of each year as it happens. Unless, of course the Mayan Calendar nuts are correct and this will be my last day on earth ...
It is only four days until my favourite day of the year -- Christmas Day -- and I am in one of my favourite places in the world -- Kaua'i, the "Garden Island" of the Hawai'ian Archipelago. I am here with the full immediate family: wife, son, stepdaughter and two granddaughters. What better place or time could there be for some annual reflection?
Well, it has been another one of those years. On the professional front, some of my longest lasting files have come either to an end or to a logical place to pause and reassess my participation. I have taken some decisive steps to simplify my professional life, reducing the size of my organization substantially. I will enter the new year with a feeling of freedom I have not experienced for many years, If ever.
There are some major outstanding loose ends, but nothing that will not be resolved in the months ahead. The major loose end involves money, and how that is resolved will determine to some extent how much we will have to live on for the next number of years, but the way it comes to a resolution will not really affect anything important.
I say this because the personal part of my life is deeply satisfying. For the past 20 years, I have been part of a family unit that is strong, affectionate and deeply mutually supportive. We have made the most important decisions already -- to stay together and grow old together, to stay where we live, perhaps in a new or renovated house, and to plan the rest of our lives on the pattern of how we live now, only better. Better in the sense of being more healthy and having less stress.
In this plan, it will be nice if we have more money than less, but our future won't really be enriched or impoverished much if we have more or less money. Not in any important way, at least. Money would enable us to spend more time in Hawai'i. Less money, less Hawai'i. Money will enable us to give the younger members of the family more opportunity, but they already have lots and it is going to be up to them what they do with it.
I consider my own immediate future as being one where in which I have more control than I have ever had. For 30 years my legal career has dominated all my plans. Now, it is in the way of my plans.
Thursday, August 23, 2012
The Most Important Car in the World
Picking up from where I left off earlier in the week, I said that it may be possible an EV is the best car in the world. If the Tesla Model S is not the best car in the world, which it may or may not be, then I am convinced that it is the most important car in the world.
Those who have driven the Model S have been effusive in its praise. For example, what can you make of this quote:
I believe that I can say that it is the most important car in the world because it is the first car ever to have been designed on the premise that an electric car might actually be the best car in the world. Whether it has achieved that status is somewhat beside the point; it is enough to acknowledge the unique motive behind the car's conception.
Electric cars have, let us face it, not been devoted to the idea of excellence. They have been curiosities. Burdened by idiosyncratic styling, most electric cars have been cute but weird urban toys.
The General Motors EV1 was a perfect example. Its styling shouted out that it was something other than a regular car.
Early hybrids were styled with the same approach. The original Honda Insight looked like an ugly cousin of the EV1. There was nothing attractive in these designs. They were designed to appeal to ... well, who exactly? Presumably people who were above such trivial concerns as appearances.
Cars have always been at least partly about sex appeal. Good-looking bad cars will sell. Ugly good cars won't. When you go out of your way to make a car ugly and appliance-like you are either inept or appealing to a different market than the average car buyer.
Electric cars and early hybrids were deliberately made into anti-cars. Every lustful reaction we may expect to have in relation to cars was erased.
The Tesla Model S is, by contrast, designed to be as sleek and lustworthy as any other car in its rather elevated class, a class that includes the Jaguar XJ, the Audi A8, the BMW 7 Series and the Mercedes-Benz S Class. These are formidable competition. These are well-engineered, luxuriously appointed, fast and desirable. And the Tesla Model S, an EV is, by design, every bit their equal. And its very "EV-ness" may well make it their superior.
This is something entirely new. An EV that makes no excuses, that does not hide behind weird looks and that is willing to go toe-to-toe with the very best cars in the world.
The Tesla Model S is sleek, handsome, well-appointed, fast, smooth and sexy.
As are its competitors. The Model S, though, has the advantages of being an EV. This means that all the torque from its electric motor is available from 0 RPM. This means that there is no noise from the powertrain. There are no emissions at all. Its enormous battery pack forms a floor to the car, lowering the centre of gravity and aiding in handling. Regenerative braking means that kinetic energy is converted back into an electric charge to be reused again for propulsion rather than wasted as heat in an ICE car.
The lack of an ICE, a cooling system, a transmission, a driveshaft, a differential and many many more parts means that the Model S is simple and relatively free of parts that can wear out or break. This also frees up huge amounts of space in the car for storage. The motor needs almost no maintenance. Regenerative braking greatly reduces wear on the brakes, which are only needed a fraction of the time compared with a conventional car.
All of this results in a driving experience, as every review of the car but I have read indicates, that is superior to any conventional car. But even with all of this, it is not why I believe that this is the most important car in the world.
Tesla, led by its CEO Elon Musk, has set aside the constraining conventional wisdom of the past 125 years, and has reimagined the car for our century. Not only that, Tesla has reimagined the car company itself, car manufacturing, and car sales and service. And all of this is due to the unique advantages of the EV over the conventional ICE car.
Elon Musk himself has gone on record as saying that he founded Tesla to prove that an EV could be the best car in the world. I would say he has already proven that with the Model S. At the same time, it is by no means assured that Tesla will survive. As I write this, only 100 Model S cars have been made. While Tesla can sell as many of them as they can make at the moment, its survival will depend upon the continuing credibility of the company to deliver on its promises. Now that it has designed and started to make what is possibly the best car in the world, it must prove that it is capable of making a lot of them at a cost that will enable the company to make money. This may prove to be a very significant challenge, given the decision of the company to be vertically integrated, making nearly every component of the car in house.
Having going on at some length about the Model S, I should close by saying that it is not this car that I am interested in buying. I have my eye on the Model X. Assuming that Tesla can stay alive, this car will be going to market in 2014.
It is a kind of SUV that can hold seven adults and all their luggage but will have the performance of a Porsche Carrera. It will be a taller version of the Model S, and should have equivalent performance.
However, it will come in an all-wheel-drive version with a second electric motor at the front of the car.
After that, Tesla has plans for a smaller and less expensive car that will compete with the BMW 3 series and others in its class.
Tesla has delivered. It has forever altered our idea of what an electric car can be, and in doing so has given us an idea of how in we will be able to continue to travel in comfort and with awesome performance while living sustainably. No longer do we have to look ahead to a future in which we have to abandon our beautiful sexy vehicles for hideous objects like the EV1.
It all makes the future of driving exciting again. For now, I am going to take great pleasure from driving my last hydrocarbon burners.
Those who have driven the Model S have been effusive in its praise. For example, what can you make of this quote:
Having driven the Tesla Model S on the neighborhood roads back-to-back not only against most of the other electric cars in the market today, but also comparing it against other premium cars such as Rolls Royce Corniche, I came to this startling conclusion: The Tesla Model S is so superior that it seems that it's just a matter of time until all the other car companies will have to file bankruptcy.Others have been similarly over the top in their praise for this car, but since I have not even seen it, much less driven it, I am afraid that my own opinion on the question is yet to be formed. Suffice it to say that I cannot wait until I have a chance to form that opinion.
I believe that I can say that it is the most important car in the world because it is the first car ever to have been designed on the premise that an electric car might actually be the best car in the world. Whether it has achieved that status is somewhat beside the point; it is enough to acknowledge the unique motive behind the car's conception.
Electric cars have, let us face it, not been devoted to the idea of excellence. They have been curiosities. Burdened by idiosyncratic styling, most electric cars have been cute but weird urban toys.
![]() |
| The late -- and ugly -- GM EV1 |
Early hybrids were styled with the same approach. The original Honda Insight looked like an ugly cousin of the EV1. There was nothing attractive in these designs. They were designed to appeal to ... well, who exactly? Presumably people who were above such trivial concerns as appearances.
![]() |
| The hideous Honda Insight |
Electric cars and early hybrids were deliberately made into anti-cars. Every lustful reaction we may expect to have in relation to cars was erased.
The Tesla Model S is, by contrast, designed to be as sleek and lustworthy as any other car in its rather elevated class, a class that includes the Jaguar XJ, the Audi A8, the BMW 7 Series and the Mercedes-Benz S Class. These are formidable competition. These are well-engineered, luxuriously appointed, fast and desirable. And the Tesla Model S, an EV is, by design, every bit their equal. And its very "EV-ness" may well make it their superior.
This is something entirely new. An EV that makes no excuses, that does not hide behind weird looks and that is willing to go toe-to-toe with the very best cars in the world.
The Tesla Model S is sleek, handsome, well-appointed, fast, smooth and sexy.
![]() |
| The beautiful Model S |
The lack of an ICE, a cooling system, a transmission, a driveshaft, a differential and many many more parts means that the Model S is simple and relatively free of parts that can wear out or break. This also frees up huge amounts of space in the car for storage. The motor needs almost no maintenance. Regenerative braking greatly reduces wear on the brakes, which are only needed a fraction of the time compared with a conventional car.
All of this results in a driving experience, as every review of the car but I have read indicates, that is superior to any conventional car. But even with all of this, it is not why I believe that this is the most important car in the world.
Tesla, led by its CEO Elon Musk, has set aside the constraining conventional wisdom of the past 125 years, and has reimagined the car for our century. Not only that, Tesla has reimagined the car company itself, car manufacturing, and car sales and service. And all of this is due to the unique advantages of the EV over the conventional ICE car.
Elon Musk himself has gone on record as saying that he founded Tesla to prove that an EV could be the best car in the world. I would say he has already proven that with the Model S. At the same time, it is by no means assured that Tesla will survive. As I write this, only 100 Model S cars have been made. While Tesla can sell as many of them as they can make at the moment, its survival will depend upon the continuing credibility of the company to deliver on its promises. Now that it has designed and started to make what is possibly the best car in the world, it must prove that it is capable of making a lot of them at a cost that will enable the company to make money. This may prove to be a very significant challenge, given the decision of the company to be vertically integrated, making nearly every component of the car in house.
![]() |
| The all wheel drive chassis of the amazing Model X |
It is a kind of SUV that can hold seven adults and all their luggage but will have the performance of a Porsche Carrera. It will be a taller version of the Model S, and should have equivalent performance.
However, it will come in an all-wheel-drive version with a second electric motor at the front of the car.
![]() |
| Elon Musk showing off the "Falcon Wing" rear doors of the Model X |
After that, Tesla has plans for a smaller and less expensive car that will compete with the BMW 3 series and others in its class.
Tesla has delivered. It has forever altered our idea of what an electric car can be, and in doing so has given us an idea of how in we will be able to continue to travel in comfort and with awesome performance while living sustainably. No longer do we have to look ahead to a future in which we have to abandon our beautiful sexy vehicles for hideous objects like the EV1.
It all makes the future of driving exciting again. For now, I am going to take great pleasure from driving my last hydrocarbon burners.
Monday, August 20, 2012
The End of Internal Combustion?
I love cars. I love driving them, and I especially love buying them. I don't like selling them so I end up with more cars than I need.
As I have written about in this Blog, I bought a 1993 Bentley Continental R last Fall. When I really analyse my motives for this irrational purchase, it is becoming clear to me that nostalgia is the main one. Nostalgia for beautiful big hydrocarbon burners. Cars like my Bentley will never be seen again. The engine is too big, at 6.75 litres, and the car, at 5300 pounds, is hopelessly excessive. It is built like a tank, and it is built for a world with endless supplies of oil.
My next car may well be a Volkswagen Phaeton. I can pick up a 12 cylinder example from 2004-2006 with low mileage for under $20,000. The VW W-12 engine is the same one that Bentley used for the Continental. Again, this is a car that time has passed by. VW discovered that North American buyers would not pay $100,000 for a car with the same badge as Hitler's "people's car." The value of 12 cylinder Phaetons have melted like an ice cream cone on a summer day.
But I want to own one, to drive one, while I can. Before it is too socially unacceptable to drive a gasoline car of any kind, much less one with way too much displacement and way too much mass.
My car after that will almost certainly be a Tesla.
First, though, I want to say something about the internal combustion engine (ICE, as electric vehicle (or EV) fans call it). After about 125 years of development and the application of many of the best minds, the ICE has been engineered to something close to perfection. When I think of the cars of my youth and compare them to the cars of today, there is no question that ICE engines today are more powerful, more efficient, cleaner and far more reliable than the engines of the past. Cars in general also stop and handle far, far better than the cars of the past.
But the ICE is inherently inefficient. The reciprocating engine involves hundreds of explosions of fuel and air that make pistons go up and down in such a way as to make a crankshaft turn. But where ICE reciprocating engines operate at about 20% energy conversion efficiency, electric motors can operate at 90%.
The ICE runs, of course, on fossil fuels that are both finite and full of carbon. Emissions include carbon dioxide, the very gas that is causing climate change.
We have invested enormous time, energy and creativity to improve the ICE and the infrastructure that gets its fuel from underground or underwater and to refineries and to pumps where we consumers access it. And of course if we take into account the wars that have been fought over the stuff (two wars in Iraq, for example), and the environmental risks of getting at it (the BP spill in the Gulf of Mexico for example), the costs of the ICE have been very great indeed, as -- of course -- have been the benefits.
Now, let's look at the EV. Not only is it mechanically far more efficient, but a well-designed electric motor can run virtually forever with minimal maintenance. An electric motor is far smaller and lighter than an ICE of equivalent power.
There is the important issue of generating the electricity that will run your EV. There are dirty ways to generate electricity, such as burning coal or oil, and also ways that involve other risks like operating nuclear power stations in earthquake zones. Hydroelectric generation is clean but can seriously disrupt land uses that are affected by the manipulation of water levels. The best bet for the future is solar, and breakthroughs can be expected that will eventually make it the dominant mode of generating electricity. See for example this article about recent progress by IBM that may erase the cost discrepancy between solar and fossil fuel energy within a decade.
There are also issues of disposing of EV batteries at the end of their useful lives, full of lithium and other exotic materials. But on balance there is no comparison between the environmental impact of an ICE vehicle and an EV. And when we really start to use our energy income (solar power) instead of our capital (fossil fuel) the EV becomes an obvious -- and inevitable -- choice. And once we begin to invest the brainpower in making the EV real and successful, as we have made the inherently flawed ICE so dominant, things can only get better.
There are of course issues with range and with the time to recharge. We are used to having cars that will run for hundreds of kilometers on a tank, and to finding a place to fill that tank in minutes nearly anywhere. The EV doesn't offer these advantages, although in time these discrepancies will vanish.
The Tesla Model S can already operate for 480 kilometers on a single charge, not much less than an equivalent ICE car on a full tank of gas. However, once you have depleted that charge it is a matter of plugging it in overnight. "Superchargers" are coming that will cut that time dramatically, but they are still some months and maybe years away. So, yes, range is still an issue.
But let's look at developments in battery technology. Important breakthroughs are being made. See for example the website of California Lithium Battery. The Chief Technology Officer of Tesla Motors estimates that the capacity of lithium-ion batteries is being improved at a rate of 7-8% a year. This means that in ten years the range of the Model S might well be 1,000 kilometers or more per charge, not 480. 99 per cent of people will, after driving 1,000 kilometers, want to stop for the night. And 10 years from now we can be confident that there will be a place to charge your car when you do stop. And then, every morning, you will start the day with the equivalent of a full tank that can keep you going all day with no anxiety whatever.
When you do charge your car it will cost a fraction of the cost of an equivalent tank of gas, even at today's artificially low gas prices. Yes, today's prices in North America are far too low to reflect the true costs of using fossil fuels, and we can pretty much count on a continuing escalation of gas prices over the foreseeable future, as the cost of extraction in increasingly challenging environments climbs and cartels keep working to exact their profits. Outside North America, consumers are of course already accustomed to gas prices far higher than ours.
The cost of making electricity, on the other hand, should over time remain relatively stable, or even come down in price as renewable and clean sources of power benefit from technical and manufacturing breakthroughs and then achieve economies of scale.
So, you might wonder, why not wait the ten years and see if this wondrous world of EVs actually does come to pass?
Because, in my opinion, it is just possible that the best car in the world today is actually an EV!
To be continued.
As I have written about in this Blog, I bought a 1993 Bentley Continental R last Fall. When I really analyse my motives for this irrational purchase, it is becoming clear to me that nostalgia is the main one. Nostalgia for beautiful big hydrocarbon burners. Cars like my Bentley will never be seen again. The engine is too big, at 6.75 litres, and the car, at 5300 pounds, is hopelessly excessive. It is built like a tank, and it is built for a world with endless supplies of oil.
![]() |
| The Magnificent VW Phaeton |
My next car may well be a Volkswagen Phaeton. I can pick up a 12 cylinder example from 2004-2006 with low mileage for under $20,000. The VW W-12 engine is the same one that Bentley used for the Continental. Again, this is a car that time has passed by. VW discovered that North American buyers would not pay $100,000 for a car with the same badge as Hitler's "people's car." The value of 12 cylinder Phaetons have melted like an ice cream cone on a summer day.
But I want to own one, to drive one, while I can. Before it is too socially unacceptable to drive a gasoline car of any kind, much less one with way too much displacement and way too much mass.
My car after that will almost certainly be a Tesla.
First, though, I want to say something about the internal combustion engine (ICE, as electric vehicle (or EV) fans call it). After about 125 years of development and the application of many of the best minds, the ICE has been engineered to something close to perfection. When I think of the cars of my youth and compare them to the cars of today, there is no question that ICE engines today are more powerful, more efficient, cleaner and far more reliable than the engines of the past. Cars in general also stop and handle far, far better than the cars of the past.
But the ICE is inherently inefficient. The reciprocating engine involves hundreds of explosions of fuel and air that make pistons go up and down in such a way as to make a crankshaft turn. But where ICE reciprocating engines operate at about 20% energy conversion efficiency, electric motors can operate at 90%.
The ICE runs, of course, on fossil fuels that are both finite and full of carbon. Emissions include carbon dioxide, the very gas that is causing climate change.
We have invested enormous time, energy and creativity to improve the ICE and the infrastructure that gets its fuel from underground or underwater and to refineries and to pumps where we consumers access it. And of course if we take into account the wars that have been fought over the stuff (two wars in Iraq, for example), and the environmental risks of getting at it (the BP spill in the Gulf of Mexico for example), the costs of the ICE have been very great indeed, as -- of course -- have been the benefits.
Now, let's look at the EV. Not only is it mechanically far more efficient, but a well-designed electric motor can run virtually forever with minimal maintenance. An electric motor is far smaller and lighter than an ICE of equivalent power.
There is the important issue of generating the electricity that will run your EV. There are dirty ways to generate electricity, such as burning coal or oil, and also ways that involve other risks like operating nuclear power stations in earthquake zones. Hydroelectric generation is clean but can seriously disrupt land uses that are affected by the manipulation of water levels. The best bet for the future is solar, and breakthroughs can be expected that will eventually make it the dominant mode of generating electricity. See for example this article about recent progress by IBM that may erase the cost discrepancy between solar and fossil fuel energy within a decade.
There are also issues of disposing of EV batteries at the end of their useful lives, full of lithium and other exotic materials. But on balance there is no comparison between the environmental impact of an ICE vehicle and an EV. And when we really start to use our energy income (solar power) instead of our capital (fossil fuel) the EV becomes an obvious -- and inevitable -- choice. And once we begin to invest the brainpower in making the EV real and successful, as we have made the inherently flawed ICE so dominant, things can only get better.
There are of course issues with range and with the time to recharge. We are used to having cars that will run for hundreds of kilometers on a tank, and to finding a place to fill that tank in minutes nearly anywhere. The EV doesn't offer these advantages, although in time these discrepancies will vanish.
The Tesla Model S can already operate for 480 kilometers on a single charge, not much less than an equivalent ICE car on a full tank of gas. However, once you have depleted that charge it is a matter of plugging it in overnight. "Superchargers" are coming that will cut that time dramatically, but they are still some months and maybe years away. So, yes, range is still an issue.
But let's look at developments in battery technology. Important breakthroughs are being made. See for example the website of California Lithium Battery. The Chief Technology Officer of Tesla Motors estimates that the capacity of lithium-ion batteries is being improved at a rate of 7-8% a year. This means that in ten years the range of the Model S might well be 1,000 kilometers or more per charge, not 480. 99 per cent of people will, after driving 1,000 kilometers, want to stop for the night. And 10 years from now we can be confident that there will be a place to charge your car when you do stop. And then, every morning, you will start the day with the equivalent of a full tank that can keep you going all day with no anxiety whatever.
When you do charge your car it will cost a fraction of the cost of an equivalent tank of gas, even at today's artificially low gas prices. Yes, today's prices in North America are far too low to reflect the true costs of using fossil fuels, and we can pretty much count on a continuing escalation of gas prices over the foreseeable future, as the cost of extraction in increasingly challenging environments climbs and cartels keep working to exact their profits. Outside North America, consumers are of course already accustomed to gas prices far higher than ours.
The cost of making electricity, on the other hand, should over time remain relatively stable, or even come down in price as renewable and clean sources of power benefit from technical and manufacturing breakthroughs and then achieve economies of scale.
So, you might wonder, why not wait the ten years and see if this wondrous world of EVs actually does come to pass?
Because, in my opinion, it is just possible that the best car in the world today is actually an EV!
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| Presenting the Tesla Model S |
Thursday, April 19, 2012
Fifty Years On
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| The Empress of England (A collection of postcards showing the ship can be seen here.) |
In Québec City we spent an
afternoon sightseeing. I remember that we went to the Eaton's department
store and my older brother Stan bought a Toshiba transistor radio. The
next day we re-embarked for the final stage of our voyage. In
Montréal it had been snowing, a thing we did not expect to encounter in late
April. We took a train to Toronto, where my uncle Norman and his family
met us at Union Station and took us to their home for our first night. I
remember being struck by the enormous size of the Royal York Hotel as we left
the station.
The next day was the
hottest we had ever known, 86º Fahrenheit (30º Celsius). From snow
to oppressive heat in a single day: this Canada was a strange and extreme
place for sure.
Like the people of other
poor countries, we Scots for centuries have escaped our dour little country,
largely denuded of timber but rich in sheep, oats and rain, seeking a better
life in a better place. In Canada we found an apparently limitless
country, with extremes of hot and cold, wet and dry, mountainous and flat,
treed and barren.
It has always seemed to me that we immigrants,
even those of us who came to Canada in childhood, can and must see Canada
differently from those who were born here and thus can take it for
granted. I myself feel indebted to this country that somehow managed to
find a place for a fifty-year old man with bad lungs and no education, along
with his wife and five dependent children.
I have tended always to recoil from public
expressions of patriotism, just like a real Canadian. I dislike singing
the national anthem in public or displaying the flag, but in my heart I love
the country deeply.
I still like to think of myself as a Scot, deep
down, but the truth of it is that I have now been in Canada five times longer
than I lived in Scotland. I sometimes wonder what my life would be like
if we had stayed. But I can't. But I do know that Canada gave all
of us opportunities that we would not have had in Scotland and I am very happy
to call this country my home.
Half a century now, and counting.
Thank you Canada.
Wednesday, February 8, 2012
Separatism
I got a package in the mail today. A couple of months ago I was looking at the website of the Scottish National Party and ordered its publications about the planned referendum on independence from the United Kingdom.
I was born in Scotland, but I left in 1962 at the age of 10. I have nostalgic feelings about Scotland as my homeland, but I don't have an adult understanding of how Scotland works.
As a Canadian, I have witnessed the playing out of separatist aspirations of many of the people of Quebec. As a Canadian I have been on the side of keeping Canada together. At the same time it is self-evident that Quebec is a "distinct society" within Canada, just as Scotland is a "distinct society" within the UK, as are Wales, Northern Ireland and England.
As a constitutional lawyer, I have been interested in the legal dimensions of separatism. In Canada these have included a Reference to the Supreme Court of Canada and the development of the Clarity Act to govern future attempts to hold a referendum on the subject. The ongoing discussion in Scotland, including preparations for a referendum on separation, is taking place with a keen awareness of the Canadian precedents.
So, as a Scot by birth I am sentimentally in favour of Scottish autonomy. As a Canadian I understand the importance of keeping countries together and at least the arguments against separation. As a lawyer I find it fascinating that the experience of my adopted country might influence the experience of the country where I was born.
I don't know how I feel about Scottish separatism. I don't really know how I feel about the nation-state in this twenty-first century. The circumstances of Scotland and Quebec are very different. Scotland was a sovereign state that joined England by treaty in 1707. Quebec has never been recognized as an independent state.
I am going to start reading now.
I was born in Scotland, but I left in 1962 at the age of 10. I have nostalgic feelings about Scotland as my homeland, but I don't have an adult understanding of how Scotland works.
As a Canadian, I have witnessed the playing out of separatist aspirations of many of the people of Quebec. As a Canadian I have been on the side of keeping Canada together. At the same time it is self-evident that Quebec is a "distinct society" within Canada, just as Scotland is a "distinct society" within the UK, as are Wales, Northern Ireland and England.
As a constitutional lawyer, I have been interested in the legal dimensions of separatism. In Canada these have included a Reference to the Supreme Court of Canada and the development of the Clarity Act to govern future attempts to hold a referendum on the subject. The ongoing discussion in Scotland, including preparations for a referendum on separation, is taking place with a keen awareness of the Canadian precedents.
So, as a Scot by birth I am sentimentally in favour of Scottish autonomy. As a Canadian I understand the importance of keeping countries together and at least the arguments against separation. As a lawyer I find it fascinating that the experience of my adopted country might influence the experience of the country where I was born.
I don't know how I feel about Scottish separatism. I don't really know how I feel about the nation-state in this twenty-first century. The circumstances of Scotland and Quebec are very different. Scotland was a sovereign state that joined England by treaty in 1707. Quebec has never been recognized as an independent state.
I am going to start reading now.
Tuesday, January 31, 2012
A Tale of Two Monsters
Eastern Ontario, as peaceable a part of the world as you can find, has recently had the dubious privilege of witnessing two of the most horrific and high-profile murder trials in the history of Canada.
In 2010, in Belleville, the world was transfixed during the sentencing of Russell Williams who had pleaded guilty to two first-degree murder charges and many dozens of lesser charges. Only days ago, in Kingston, three members of the Shafia family were sentenced to four counts each of first-degree murder for the so-called honour killing of three teenage members of their family and the first of Mohammad Shafia's two wives.
In each of these cases, the conduct of the accused was absolutely incomprehensible to the average onlooker. In each case, the circumstances of the killings were monstrous and therefore surely the perpetrators were monsters.
The first monster, Russell Williams, was a most unusual sexual predator. So far as we know, he had never acted upon his deviant sexual urges until well into his adult years. He began breaking and entering into houses that he knew would contain female undergarments. He videotaped himself in various acts involving those garments. This he repeated dozens of times, including in the homes of his neighbours and people he knew in his private life. He targeted the homes of women and young girls.
Williams' private life was another feature that made him a most unusual monster. Unlike many and perhaps most sex offenders, he was an outwardly successful and well-adjusted man. He had a successful military career as a pilot, having been chosen to fly Queen Elizabeth on one occasion. He rose to the rank of Base Commander at CFB Trenton. He was seemingly happily married, and he was to all appearances an exemplary citizen and soldier.
However, his sexual fetishism escalated into sexual assaults and eventually to two blood-curdling murders of women who had come to his attention and who he had used for sexual gratification. All of his crimes were meticulously recorded by him so that he could relive them again and again in the privacy of his own sick mind.
He was caught for the simplest of reasons. He happened to have a vehicle with a fairly rare tire tread pattern and because of this the police could place him at the scene of one of the murders. He walked into a police station, filled with the confidence and arrogance of a military man whose orders are promptly obeyed, in order to answer a few routine questions, but he never left. During a lengthy interrogation, he was confronted with the evidence against him and made a full confession.
After living a double life for many years, Russell Williams chose to make a clean breast of it. He pleaded guilty plea to all the charges and he co-operated in the gathering of evidence against him. He was forced to sit through a sentencing hearing during which all of the humiliating evidence that he had gathered to document his various sick triumphs was used to justify a life sentence. We were all left in a state of shock at what the evidence he had gathered against himself disclosed. He was a narcissistic and unfeeling sadist. He also had no respect for persons under his care. One of his victims was a member of the Canadian military under his command.
The Shafia case, just concluded in Kingston, was very different. Mohammad Shafia and his second wife and their son were convicted of the premeditated murder of three teenage daughters of the family and the first wife of Mr. Shafia. Unlike Russell Williams, the accused have vociferously protested their innocence, even in the face of overwhelming evidence against them.
The murders took place because three teenage girls wanted to be free of the medieval rules under which their father wanted them to live. Their stepmother died because she was sympathetic to the girls. Mohammad Shafia lived in a world in which the sexuality of his daughters was his to dispose of. Unauthorized behaviour, including the wearing of clothing of which he did not approve, was a betrayal of his "honour." His second wife and their son were complicit in these murders but the father was the instigator, the real monster.
Or, rather, the monster is the belief system that the father acquired in his native Afghanistan and that survived within him after he emigrated first to Australia, then to Dubai and finally to Montréal. The daughters of Mohammad Shafia were, in this belief system, not independent young women to be encouraged to choose a mate or a career. They were his property. They were, in fact, his property to the extent that when they rejected his view of the world and of their future as envisioned and indeed dictated by him, by simply acting as normal teenagers, he saw no alternative but to murder them. It appears that his wife and son were so steeped in the same sick worldview that they readily agreed and assisted in the simple harebrained scheme he came up with to dispose of them.
The facts came out at trial revealed Shafia to be a small-minded, penny-pinching, petty, tyrannical and ultimately stupid man. He formulated a plan that had no chance of remaining undetected by law enforcement officials. He left evidence of the plan and half-baked attempts to cover-up the plan all over Eastern Ontario.
What can we learn from the cases of these monsters? Perhaps the first thing of note is that the best way to avoid the notice of such people is not to be a woman. Both Russell Williams and Mohammad Shafia acted out of perverted ideas about, or at least responses to, sexuality. Apart from that, what do we make of these two cases? Russell Williams terrifies us because he could be anyone in our midst. A successful man with a ready smile, he was the type of man people trusted. Who could possibly know that a Mr. Hyde lurked within him? How can we ever know who among us carries such perversion within him? How can we protect ourselves from people who can so well conceal their capacity to extinguish human life for their own gratification?
But at least Russell Williams knew that what he was doing was wrong. When he was confronted with the evidence, he confessed, almost with a sense of relief. Mohammad Shafia will almost certainly go to his grave knowing that he was right to murder his daughters and his first wife. No condemnation by our society can make a dent in his unalterable belief that he had the right to dispose of his daughters as if they were chattels because they would not bend to his will. The trial judge called him dishonourable and despicable, but one must take away the sense that these words coming from a representative of our mainstream society mean nothing to a man like him, because only his internal sense of honour matters.
His son had been researching whether a landlord could still look after real estate from jail before the murders had taken place. It seems that they expected to be jailed, or at least looked into that possibility before carrying out their murderous plan. Despite this the Shafias lied through their teeth in attempt to escape the most harsh penalty our society can exact. But all of this was nothing as compared to Mohammad Shafia's sense of damaged honour.
Many people have noted, and I accept their word on this, that honour killing is not an Islamic phenomenon. I have no doubt that the Koran is opposed to this despicable practice, and that it is based in cultural norms that likely far predate the birth of Mohammad the Prophet.
Honour killing is in fact found in other cultures. Just a couple of weeks ago a mother in Maple Ridge, BC was arrested for arranging the murder of her own daughter in India. The murder took place ten years ago, but only now, and after extensive media coverage, have Canadian police laid a charge. The family are Sikhs. The sin of the daughter was to marry a man the family did not approve of. And for that reason the family killed her, or so it seems.
And so, which of these is the greater monster? Only a year ago I would have said that I could imagine no worse monster than Russell Williams. Now I'm not so sure. The cold-blooded murder of three of one's children for the reasons that animated Mohammad Shafia will be hard to top.
Russell Williams is one of a kind, and whatever produced him could arise in anyone, anywhere. And at least whatever produced him is not contagious. Mohammad Shafia is the prisoner of a culture. It seems that anyone brought up this culture can come to act upon its hateful principles. Which should we fear more: the individual psychopath or the contagious, toxic culture of hate? Frankly, for me it is the latter.
Even here, in in the most peaceable country of Eastern Ontario, there be monsters. It would be nice to think that we might be done with them for a while. But all the same, they are here.
In 2010, in Belleville, the world was transfixed during the sentencing of Russell Williams who had pleaded guilty to two first-degree murder charges and many dozens of lesser charges. Only days ago, in Kingston, three members of the Shafia family were sentenced to four counts each of first-degree murder for the so-called honour killing of three teenage members of their family and the first of Mohammad Shafia's two wives.
In each of these cases, the conduct of the accused was absolutely incomprehensible to the average onlooker. In each case, the circumstances of the killings were monstrous and therefore surely the perpetrators were monsters.
![]() |
| Russell Williams |
Williams' private life was another feature that made him a most unusual monster. Unlike many and perhaps most sex offenders, he was an outwardly successful and well-adjusted man. He had a successful military career as a pilot, having been chosen to fly Queen Elizabeth on one occasion. He rose to the rank of Base Commander at CFB Trenton. He was seemingly happily married, and he was to all appearances an exemplary citizen and soldier.
However, his sexual fetishism escalated into sexual assaults and eventually to two blood-curdling murders of women who had come to his attention and who he had used for sexual gratification. All of his crimes were meticulously recorded by him so that he could relive them again and again in the privacy of his own sick mind.
He was caught for the simplest of reasons. He happened to have a vehicle with a fairly rare tire tread pattern and because of this the police could place him at the scene of one of the murders. He walked into a police station, filled with the confidence and arrogance of a military man whose orders are promptly obeyed, in order to answer a few routine questions, but he never left. During a lengthy interrogation, he was confronted with the evidence against him and made a full confession.
After living a double life for many years, Russell Williams chose to make a clean breast of it. He pleaded guilty plea to all the charges and he co-operated in the gathering of evidence against him. He was forced to sit through a sentencing hearing during which all of the humiliating evidence that he had gathered to document his various sick triumphs was used to justify a life sentence. We were all left in a state of shock at what the evidence he had gathered against himself disclosed. He was a narcissistic and unfeeling sadist. He also had no respect for persons under his care. One of his victims was a member of the Canadian military under his command.
![]() |
| Mohammed Shafia, Tooba Yahya and Hamed Shafia |
The murders took place because three teenage girls wanted to be free of the medieval rules under which their father wanted them to live. Their stepmother died because she was sympathetic to the girls. Mohammad Shafia lived in a world in which the sexuality of his daughters was his to dispose of. Unauthorized behaviour, including the wearing of clothing of which he did not approve, was a betrayal of his "honour." His second wife and their son were complicit in these murders but the father was the instigator, the real monster.
Or, rather, the monster is the belief system that the father acquired in his native Afghanistan and that survived within him after he emigrated first to Australia, then to Dubai and finally to Montréal. The daughters of Mohammad Shafia were, in this belief system, not independent young women to be encouraged to choose a mate or a career. They were his property. They were, in fact, his property to the extent that when they rejected his view of the world and of their future as envisioned and indeed dictated by him, by simply acting as normal teenagers, he saw no alternative but to murder them. It appears that his wife and son were so steeped in the same sick worldview that they readily agreed and assisted in the simple harebrained scheme he came up with to dispose of them.
The facts came out at trial revealed Shafia to be a small-minded, penny-pinching, petty, tyrannical and ultimately stupid man. He formulated a plan that had no chance of remaining undetected by law enforcement officials. He left evidence of the plan and half-baked attempts to cover-up the plan all over Eastern Ontario.
What can we learn from the cases of these monsters? Perhaps the first thing of note is that the best way to avoid the notice of such people is not to be a woman. Both Russell Williams and Mohammad Shafia acted out of perverted ideas about, or at least responses to, sexuality. Apart from that, what do we make of these two cases? Russell Williams terrifies us because he could be anyone in our midst. A successful man with a ready smile, he was the type of man people trusted. Who could possibly know that a Mr. Hyde lurked within him? How can we ever know who among us carries such perversion within him? How can we protect ourselves from people who can so well conceal their capacity to extinguish human life for their own gratification?
But at least Russell Williams knew that what he was doing was wrong. When he was confronted with the evidence, he confessed, almost with a sense of relief. Mohammad Shafia will almost certainly go to his grave knowing that he was right to murder his daughters and his first wife. No condemnation by our society can make a dent in his unalterable belief that he had the right to dispose of his daughters as if they were chattels because they would not bend to his will. The trial judge called him dishonourable and despicable, but one must take away the sense that these words coming from a representative of our mainstream society mean nothing to a man like him, because only his internal sense of honour matters.
His son had been researching whether a landlord could still look after real estate from jail before the murders had taken place. It seems that they expected to be jailed, or at least looked into that possibility before carrying out their murderous plan. Despite this the Shafias lied through their teeth in attempt to escape the most harsh penalty our society can exact. But all of this was nothing as compared to Mohammad Shafia's sense of damaged honour.
Many people have noted, and I accept their word on this, that honour killing is not an Islamic phenomenon. I have no doubt that the Koran is opposed to this despicable practice, and that it is based in cultural norms that likely far predate the birth of Mohammad the Prophet.
Honour killing is in fact found in other cultures. Just a couple of weeks ago a mother in Maple Ridge, BC was arrested for arranging the murder of her own daughter in India. The murder took place ten years ago, but only now, and after extensive media coverage, have Canadian police laid a charge. The family are Sikhs. The sin of the daughter was to marry a man the family did not approve of. And for that reason the family killed her, or so it seems.
And so, which of these is the greater monster? Only a year ago I would have said that I could imagine no worse monster than Russell Williams. Now I'm not so sure. The cold-blooded murder of three of one's children for the reasons that animated Mohammad Shafia will be hard to top.
Russell Williams is one of a kind, and whatever produced him could arise in anyone, anywhere. And at least whatever produced him is not contagious. Mohammad Shafia is the prisoner of a culture. It seems that anyone brought up this culture can come to act upon its hateful principles. Which should we fear more: the individual psychopath or the contagious, toxic culture of hate? Frankly, for me it is the latter.
Even here, in in the most peaceable country of Eastern Ontario, there be monsters. It would be nice to think that we might be done with them for a while. But all the same, they are here.
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